phoenix housing market trends

The current real time market profile shows there were approximately 10,513 new listings (down 1,678 listings from last month) on the market in April 2017 and 9,365 sold transactions (down 532 listings from last month). The overall inventory of homes on the market in April 2017 is 21,806 homes (down 440 listing from last month) which is down -16.4% as compared to the number of home on the marker in August 2014. In April 2015 there were 24,965 homes, in April 2014 there were 29,308 homes and in April 2013 there were 20,275 homes for sale on the market. Due to the large spike in the number of sold transactions and the decline in average days on market this shows buyer’s demand is strong where inventories may continue to be low and drive up prices.

Since November 2016 after our new president took office the average sales price has increased from approximately $281,000 to $292,500 or an appreciation rate of 3.5% in 6 months. In March we saw a 43.2% increase in the number of sold transaction in one month but this month the number of sold transactions are down 532 or -5.7%. The number of sold transactions usually increases from March until June but we will have to see next month if this will be the beginning of a new trend as evident of a decrease in buyer demand or ability to buy. Since April 2016 (12 months ago), the average sold price has increased +3.5% (up from last month), the average days on market has decreased approximately -2.6% (down from last month) and the number of sold transactions has decreased approximately -0.1% (down from last month).

The volume of foreclosure purchases since April 2016 (12 months ago) has decreased approximately -17.0% and the volume of short sales decreased of approximately -38.1%. Since April 2013 the number of foreclosures have decreased -545.7% and the current percentage of foreclosure sales is only 2% of the market which indicates a healthy market. Also, since April 2013 the number of short sale transactions have decreased -1,076.9% and the current percentage of short sales sold is only 2% of the market. Unfortunately, some homeowners who bought between 2005 and 2007 are still up-side-down as shown in the annual average sold price chart above.

Since April 2016 (12 months ago), the number of homes for sale on the market have decreased approximately -12.2% or 24,840 homes for sale on the market to a gradual decrease of 21,806 homes (Down 440 homes from last month). The total number of listings is low as compared to 29,308 listings in August 2014. This decrease in the number of homes for sale indicates we are currently in a seller’s market (low supply and increased demand).

Real estate prices are still relatively low (near 2008 prices), interest rates are planned to increase in 2017 and the macroeconomic market is improving both in terms of prices and the overall economy. Give us a call to discuss your best buying or selling strategy, TODAY!!

Position Realty
Office: 480-213-5251

As you can see from the first chart above, Position Realty Market Index, the first time home buyer tax credit created a great deal of demand in the market similar to the real estate boom from 2004 to 2006. Currently the number of transactions is slowing down due to the lack of inventory but real estate price are continuing to increase.

Since August 2012 (12 months ago), the average sold price has increased approximately +22.9% (down from last month), the average days on market have decreased approximately -6% (up from last month) and the number of transaction has increased approximately +10.4% (up from last month). The current average sold price is $239,000 (down -0.1% from last month) which is back to the average sold price experienced in 2008. Since January 2013, the number of transaction is up approximately +39.4% and the number of transactions are expected to increase as we enter the fall home buying season.

The volume of REO purchases since August 2012 has decreased approximately -31% and the volume of short sales have decreased approximately -56%. The volume of REO purchases are shrinking due the increase in real estate prices, more banks are accepting short sale transaction as opposed to foreclosure and an existing supply of inventory is getting purchased at a faster rate.

Since the August 2012 (12 months ago), the number of homes for sale on the market have been fairly stable with approximately a +0.9% increase. Since last month, the number of home for sale on the market have increased approximately +3.8%. As real estate prices increase, more and more sellers that purchased during the real estate boom are putting their homes on the market to break-even or sell with a small amount of equity. The inventory of active homes is consistently being replenished but purchase prices continue to increase.

As more and more buyers enter the market and as more of the supply of residential homes are exhausted, real estate prices will continue to increase at a faster rate (lack of supply and strong demand causes prices to increase).Real estate prices are still at an all time low (near 2008 prices), mortgage rates are still at a historical low and the market is improving both in terms of prices and the overall economy. Time to buy is NOW!! Give us a call to discuss your best buying strategy, TODAY!!

Position Realty
Office: 480-213-5251

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Phoenix Real Estate Market Report ~ April 2017

Phoenix Residential Market Report ~ July 2013