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Phoenix Residential Market Report ~ August 2015

Real Time_Supply

Pie Chart_Market

Average Sold Price_Monthly

Average Days on Market_Monthly

Active vs Sold Transactions2

Foreclosures_Monthly

Short Sales_Monthly

The current real time market profile shows there were approximately 9,243 new listings (down from last month) on the market in July 2015 and 7,972 sold transactions. Since the beginning of the year the number of new listings has exceeded the number of sold transaction but the number of total listing has consistently decreased since April 2014.

Since August 2014 (12 months ago), the average sold price has increased approximately +4.0% (down from last month), the average days on market have decreased approximately -13.8% (down from last month) and the number of sold transaction has increased approximately +26.2% (down from last month). Since the month of May 2014 the average sold price has teeter tottered up and down with no upward trend but in April 2015 the average sold price jumped higher than the last 12 months. The summer buying season has been strong with a +2.1% increase in price since April 2015. The current average sold price is approximately $263,000 which is up since March 2015. This second month of price increases is a strong indication of a market reversal from the real estate market we experienced in 2014. Let’s hope the market continues its upward trend throughout the rest of the summer buying season.

The volume of foreclosure purchases since August 2014 (12 months ago) has decreased approximately -37.2% and the volume of short sales have increased approximately -34.4%. Since August 2014 the volume of foreclosure purchases went up and now the trend is back down once again. Since August 2013 the volume of short sale purchases have consistently decreased because the inventory of homes “up-side-down” have been exhausted and values have risen to a point where consumers can break-even or sell with some equity.

Since August 2014 (12 months ago), the number of homes for sale on the market have decreased approximately -15.1% or 26,076 homes for sale on the market to a gradually decrease of 22,129 homes. This decrease in the number of homes for sale could be a sign the market is beginning to shift once again back to a seller’s market (low supply and increased demand).

Real estate prices are still relatively low (near 2008 prices), mortgage rates are still at a historical low and the macroeconomic market is improving both in terms of prices and the overall economy. Give us a call to discuss your best investment strategy, TODAY!!

Position Realty
Office: 480-213-5251

Phoenix Real Estate Market Report ~ February 2014

As you can see from the first chart above, Position Realty Market Index, the first time home buyer tax credit created a great deal of demand in the market similar to the real estate boom from 2004 to 2006. Currently the numbers of transactions are slowing down as a result there is an increase in inventory because the number of listings is not being purchased at a fast enough rate.

Since March 2013 (12 months ago), the average sold price has increased approximately +6.9% (up from last month), the average days on market have increased approximately +22.5% (up from last month) and the number of transaction has decreased approximately -29.5% (down from last month). The month of November showed signs the average sold price was starting to decrease and this trend has continued throughout the month of February. The current average sold price is approximately $242,000 which is down -2.3% from last month at $247,000. Also, the current number of transactions at 4,651 in the month of January has never been this low since April 2008. If this trend continues throughout the year it could be very bad news for real estate prices. Hopefully the average sold price, average days on market and the number of transaction will reverse with the spring / summer buying season.

The volume of REO purchases since March 2013 (12 months ago) has decreased approximately -41.4% and the volume of short sales have decreased approximately -75.4%. Since October 2013 the volume of REO purchases has increased approximately +18.3. The volume of REO purchases is rising again because Fannie Mae and institutional lenders have been holding onto inventory and they are starting to release their inventory at a faster rate. The volume of short sales are still down but REO purchases are back on the rise.

Since March 2013 (12 months ago), the number of homes for sale on the market have increased approximately +37.1%. This increase in the number of listings is caused by investors leaving the market and sellers that purchased during the real estate boom are putting their homes on the market to break-even or sell with a small amount of equity. Real estate prices have reached a point where sellers are listing their homes at a faster rate than buyers are purchasing. This may cause a decrease in real estate prices but hopefully buyers will resume their buying trend as we enter the spring / summer buying season.

As more and more sellers enter the market and as more of the supply of residential homes increase, real estate prices may start to decrease (more supply and weaker demand causes prices to decrease). The best time to buy real estate is when there is more supply than demand (buyer’s market). It might not be too late to sell so give us a call to discuss your best selling strategy before it could be too late!!

Position Realty
Office: 480-213-5251

Phoenix Residential Market Report Summary ~ September

As you can see from the first chart above, Position Realty Market Index, the first time home buyer tax credit created a great deal of demand in the market similar to the real estate boom from 2004 to 2006. From March to June of this year the residential real estate market experienced another buying frenzy caused without government intervention or relaxed mortgage underwriting standards. Currently the number of transaction is slowing back down to number of transaction experienced around the same time a year ago due to the lack of inventory, 19.5% from a year ago, we are in an election year and we are approaching the holiday seasons.

Since January 2012 (9 months ago), the average sold price has increased approximately +21.1% (up from last month), the average days on market have decreased approximately -28.4% (down from last month) and the number of transaction has increased approximately +0.5% (down from last month). The largest average price increase over the last 12 months was experienced in March from $168,961 in February to $184,078 in March.

The volume of REO purchases since January 2012 has decreased approximately -55.8% and the volume of short sales have decreased approximately -8.5%. The volume of REO purchases are shrinking due to the increased volume of trustee sales, more banks are accepting short sale transaction and an existing supply of inventory is getting purchased at a faster rate.

The current supply of homes for sale on the market is 21,182 where the same time a year ago there were 46,197 homes on the market which is a decrease of -54.1%. Since the January 2012 (9 months ago), the number of homes for sale on the market has decreased approximately -11.1% (up from last month). As more and more buyers enter the market and as more of the supply of residential homes are exhausted, real estate prices will continue to increase at a faster rate (as currently experiencing).

Trying to “time the market” for the perfect time to buy is nearly impossible but there is no better time than now to purchase. Real estate prices are at an all time low (not for long), mortgage rates are at a historical low and the market is improving both in terms of prices and the overall economy. Time to buy is NOW!! Give us a call to discuss your best buying strategy, TODAY!!

PositionRealty.com
Office: 480-213-5251

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